Wisconsin is competing to be the closest governor’s race of this election cycle, meanwhile the senate election looks to lean strongly republican. Johnson leads among white voters by around eight percent, as this is overwhelmingly the largest demographic in Wisconsin this gives him a strong base of support to draw from. Men heavily favor Johnson while women give slightly less weight to his opponent Barnes. Barnes holds a sturdy grasp over the youth vote, but their numbers are unlikely to be enough to turn the tide as all other age demographics are staunchly sided with Johnson. This election is very likely to be decided by the turnout from women and youth voters, without their turnout the white and male vote will give Johnson the victory. Our rating of the Wisconsin 2022 Senatorial election is: Likely GOP. Johnson to win by 5.9 points.